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You are at:Home » AI stock trading is starting to change beyond the “Magnificent 7”
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AI stock trading is starting to change beyond the “Magnificent 7”

Adnan MaharBy Adnan MaharDecember 16, 2007No Comments5 Mins Read0 Views
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Investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence has the Magnificent Seven tech stocks doing well again, including Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), and Apple (AAPL) stocks. It’s been a year. All stocks have recently hit record highs, with Nvidia (NVDA) stock up more than 175% this year.

Over the next year, investors expect this hype to spread further into sectors such as utility stocks and software stocks, which will continue to benefit from big tech’s big AI investments. David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, expects the S&P 500 index (^GSPC) to reach 6,500 by the end of 2025, with the rest of the market’s gains coming closer to that of large-cap tech stocks. are.

“Revenue growth is more important than valuation, which drives earnings,” Kostin said during Goldman Sachs’ 2025 Media Roundtable with reporters. “If the gap in growth rates narrows, it is likely that (the gap) in performance will also narrow,” he said.

The rapid earnings growth seen in large-cap stocks over the past year and a half is expected to slow, while earnings for the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 are expected to pick up.

BofA’s equity strategy team, led by Savita Subramanian, has set a year-end target for the S&P 500 index of 6,666 in 2025, which includes a call for higher returns driven in part by AI.

“AI will definitely play a role in 2025 revenues,” Subramanian told Yahoo Finance. “And in fact, one of the reasons we’re so bullish on earnings growth is that not everyone is spending on technology capex, but technology capex is actually picking up, and technology companies are kind of , the idea is that they are spending on a broader range of investments in the industry. ”

SHENZHEN, CHINA - NOVEMBER 30: The Nvidia logo can be seen on the exterior of an office building in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China, on November 30, 2024. Nvidia has recently expanded its presence in China, focusing on AI technology and advanced computing solutions amid growing global demand. (Photo by Chen Xin/Getty Images)
The Nvidia logo is seen on the exterior of an office building in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China, on November 30, 2024. (Chen Xin/Getty Images) · Chen Xin (via Getty Images)

Subramanian points out that Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta alone will see capital spending increase by 42% in 2024 and another 17% in 2025, bringing their total spending next year to $2,440. It is expected to reach $1 billion. Not all of this spending will go to AI chips. Tech companies are also increasing spending to cover the electricity needed to run AI data centers.

In a 2025 outlook roundtable with reporters, BlackRock Investment Institute noted that the electricity required to run one data center is approximately equal to the average amount of electricity used by all of New York City in a day. . That’s why strategists, including BofA’s Subramanian, are betting on exposure to that part of the tech buildup, including the utility sector (XLU), which is already up more than 20% in 2024, partly due to optimism in AI. I have a bullish view on companies that are

story continues

This part of AI trading is already starting to change. In his 2025 stock outlook, Kostin highlighted three baskets of potential AI deals, ranging from “Phase 1” stocks like Nvidia to “Phase 2” stocks in Goldman’s AI “Infrastructure” bucket. He pointed out that the transition is already well underway. As seen in the dark blue line in the chart below, AI infrastructure stocks, including other semiconductor companies like Arm Holdings (ARM) and power companies like Vistra Corporation (VST), have already seen significant gains. There is.

Over the next year, Goldman believes the changing of the AI ​​guard will become more entrenched as trading moves into “Phase 3” under a basket of stocks that Goldman has dubbed “Profit Enabling.” These are the groups of companies that will benefit from the deployment and monetization of AI solutions. In other words, companies that can use AI to increase sales aren’t actually selling things like AI chips to other companies. A large portion of this basket of stocks tracked by Goldman are software and services stocks, including names like Mastercard (MA), Salesforce (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE).

And “Phase 3” AI stocks are already receiving bids, as seen by the sharp rise in the light blue line in the chart below. For example, Salesforce stock recently rose more than 10% after announcing earnings and citing the success of its new AI tool, Agentforce.

Goldman added that this is not necessarily calling for AI infrastructure stocks to underperform the market in 2025, but rather points to which parts of the AI ​​trade have more room for upside. Ta. Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at Charles Schwab, agreed.

As AI trade enters its next phase, “there should be more focus, or even more prominence, on the adopters rather than the creators,” Gordon told Yahoo Finance.

Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. X Follow him at @_joshschafer.

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Adnan Mahar
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Adnan is a passionate doctor from Pakistan with a keen interest in exploring the world of politics, sports, and international affairs. As an avid reader and lifelong learner, he is deeply committed to sharing insights, perspectives, and thought-provoking ideas. His journey combines a love for knowledge with an analytical approach to current events, aiming to inspire meaningful conversations and broaden understanding across a wide range of topics.

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