Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban is paying attention to the press conference on November 8, 2024 at an unofficial EU Summit at the Puscas Arena in Budapest, Hungarian.
Marton Monus | Reuters
The so -called “Strongman” leader in Europe -Most of them are allocated with something like President Donald Trump and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin -the analysts say that it looks more weak. Popularity is declining ahead of major elections.
Trump’s inauguration ceremony has shot his arms to popular leaders and party, such as Hungarian’s Victor Orban, Slovakia’s Robert Fico, the right wing of Germany, Marine Le Pen, and the National Larry Party in France. It was expected. But this is not a natural conclusion because domestic pressure and economic issues focus on their popularity and power.
“The second phase of Donald Trump in the United States seemed to be a call for a similar populist and a structural political change in Magas style.” I said in the comments I emailed. Maga refers to “making the United States great again.” This is a slogan that has historically supported Trump’s ethnic campaign.
“In fact, we are actually looking at a slightly mixed picture of Europe, and many of Trump’s apostles are on their back,” Ash said.
Is there any “Strongman” leader?
Hungarian and Slovakia leaders Victor Olban and Prime Minister Robert Fiko are often “strong” diversity, resembled Putin, and have been building warm relationships since Russia’s invasion of Russia in 2022. 。
Although they are members of the European Union, the two countries oppose block initiative to reduce relationships with Moscow, such as reducing Russian gas and oil imports. Instead, the nation chose to maintain the supply, fearing increasing energy costs.
Both leaders are also critical of the voice of giving Ukraine more military and financial assistance, and last Monday, Orban was given energy security guarantee by blocks. I retreated from the standpoint.
ORBAN and FICO have become increasingly dissatisfied with leadership between the people and the parliament. Although Olvan’s polls are decreasing, the rating of his main political rivals Majar is increasing. On the other hand, FICO, on the other hand, avoided a confident movement voting in January after his political enemy abandoned this movement.
In the photo of this pool, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin (R) distributed by the Russian state’s institution SPUTNIK, Prime Minister Slovakia’s Robert Fiko, Prime Minister Slovakia, before discussions in Moscow on December 22, 2024. Shake hands with (L).
Gavriil Grigorov | AFP | Getty Image
According to analysts, both men may face the defeat in the near future ballot box, and analysts will be held in Hungary next year and will be held in Slovakia in 2027. His government looks more vulnerable.
“Despite the opposition parties withdrawn in early January, last week, Prime Minister Robert Fico said after four members of the Diet withdrew their support. I saw losing, “Teneo said he commented by email on Monday.
“Furthermore, FICO has been facing the largest public protests since 1989, opposing the government’s foreign foreign policy. This week, a demonstration is planned. In the meantime, in the latest polls. TURSA has added SSD (FICO’s left -wing populist party) that the opponent’s advanced Slovak has become wise.
Ulsla von del Rayen, Prime Minister Hungary, Prime Minister Victor Olban, and Charles Michelle of the European Council, on November 8, 2024 at Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary. Take a pose following the press conference at the EU Summit.
Marton Monus | Reuters
On the other hand, in Hungary, FICO’s allies Olban has been increasing domestic pressure this year, and the popularity of opposition leaders, Peter Maghar and his Tisa party, is rapidly increasing.
With a variety of opinions since November, Tisza has been pulled before the Orban’s Fidesn party, with 35 % -45 % support among the decisive voters. If that trend continues, the anti -EU populist Orban may lose 2026 elections.
“Orban and Fides media are Trump, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, President Xi Jinping, and his” wise “peaceful efforts in the Ukrainian War, and the great and great diplomatic achievements. , He emphasizes his international and diplomatic importance without mercy. Hungary’s EU President, “said a political risk consultant company Eurasia Group analyst, said in a January note.
“But in reality, Olban has been facing his most difficult year since he first gained power in 2010, which is the EU’s agenda as an outstanding populist leader in blocks. They will further impair the hijacking ability. “
Brussels grace?
The Popurist Party of the EU as a whole has been significantly popular in the past decade, standing out of the German AFD party and a national rally in France. government.
The Euro skepticism and the anti -immigration emotions were greatly promoted by the people’s dissatisfaction with the EU’s response to unwritten immigration on the continent.
European Commission’s co -press conference Ursla von del -Reyen, European Antonio Costa, the European Council Summit, Prime Minister Hungary Victor Orban, the EU leader at the European Union’s headquarters 2024 On December 19th in Brussels in Belgium.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
In future elections in Germany, Austria, and the Czech Republic, you can see the Popurist’s anti -EU political parties this year, but the anti -EU government seriously confuses the EU’s decision. It is far from the European Council’s necessary blocking minority. Please pay attention to the group:
“If they were in the government, they tended to move towards political centers, except for the remarkable exceptions of Hungary, so many of the right edges are dealt with the immigration crisis where the government slowly burning. This depends on whether you can find a more effective way to find it. “