Last year it was painful for Iran. The president died of a helicopter collision. It was hit twice by Israeli missiles and wiped out the best air defense and missile facilities. The three of the allies, the Syrian’s Bashar’s Al -Assad administration, Lebanon’s hizvola, and Gaza’s hamas collapsed. The nuclear plan is an unusual area that may claim that Iran will hold Initiative.
At the end of last year, Iran produced about 7 kg of uranium, with 60 % (stone throws from weapon grades), and about two nuclear bombs per month. Currently, we have set up a more advanced centrifugal separator and feed uranium, which has already been concentrated at a higher level. “The ability is increasing seven times,” said Rafael Glosso, the head of the UN Watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Not all of these are plausible civilian use.
Iran stopped a formal nuclear weapon program in 2003, but continued to pursue weapons -related work. In 2020, the killing of nuclear physicists, Morsen Facridade, was almost certainly Israel and left a vacuum. Nobody adjusts weapons -related activities. According to Israel’s sources, “there are now at least five or six facrisdies, and they are much more difficult to get.” Some units in the Iranian program are considered to be conducting research without telling policy proprietors. I will use it later.
Many Israel wants to attack the nucleus of Iran and stop getting bombs. However, Efd Barak, a former Israeli prime minister who once claimed such an action, and other Israeli politicians argued that Iranian programs are now too advanced and are not deeply buried. I am doing it. Other Israeli officials who were supported by the success of the strike last year would still cause serious damage if they provide intelligence by providing bombs that break the bunker they need in the United States. I claim that I can do it.
Trump is not convinced. “They can’t have nuclear weapons,” he recently argued. “They are religious enthusiasm,” but his early movement suggests that he is not enthusiastic about the immediate scrap. Within a few hours after taking office, Trump fired Brian Hook, Hawkish officials, a messenger of Iran, in Trump’s first term. He later withdrawn security protection from his former Secretary of State, Hook and Mike Pompeo. Iran threatened to assassinate both men after Trump’s decision to kill Iran’s general, Casem Slaymani, in 2020.
Many of Trump’s appointment opposes the intertwining of the United States in the Middle East. Elbridge Corbee, Pentagon’s new policy manager, hopes that the country will concentrate on Asia. Hawks is also wary of chattering that he might make Steve Witkov, a real estate investor in real estate, a real estate investor in the Middle East.
Mr. Trump’s preference is to restart the “maximum pressure” to Iran by adding sanctions. However, the president needs to decide how much Iran’s program is to roll back and request any more restrictions. A nuclear trading that he left in 2018 and killed in essence. Mr. Grosso believes that his IAEA can design a system for “checking” various routes to Iran’s bomb, but he has now warned that Agency is in the dark. “About the procurement of components for Iranian centrifugal separators. Trump needs to decide whether he wants to focus only on nuclear issues or to cover the support of Iranian armed groups.
On their side, Iranian leaders are confused. Missile stockpiling, air defense, and loss of local allies means that nuclear selection is more attractive. However, the same factor means that in a poor position to survive radioactive drops in a dashing process for bombs. The Israeli spy has shown an amazing penetration of Iran in the past year.
Glosso, who visited Iran in November, said in Iran’s President Masud Pezukian, “a desire to be more constructive and comprehensive with us.” The true power is that Iran’s leader is afraid that “Iran is likely to choose negotiations at the moment.” Nevertheless, he is not sure if Trump and Iran’s highest leader Ayatra Ali Hamene will be bridgeed. “They will try to attract (Mr. Trump) in negotiations,” said Israel’s Intelligence.
Ticking time bomb
It may work to some extent. “We oppose a very tight timeline,” Glosso acknowledges. Under the previous contract, Britain, France, and Germany (the remaining three western members) can vote for re -imposing a complete Panoplie of sanctions before 2015 to Iran. The movement they threatened in December.
Iran says that it may withdraw from the nuclear non -diffusion treaty accordingly. There is no current consensus between London, Paris and Berlin. If Israel believes that Iran is making a secret dash for a bomb, the timetable may be shorter. Like Iran, American allies are waiting for Mr. Trump to see how he is approaching. “Iran will do a good deal,” said the president on January 23.
© 2025, The Economist NEWSPAPER LTD. All Rights Reserved. From the economist released under the license. The original content is on www.economist.com
