According to Google CEO Sundar Pichai, generative artificial intelligence probably won’t change people’s lives in 2025 — at least not any more than it already has.
When OpenAI introduced ChatGPT two years ago, generative AI immediately captured the imagination of users around the world. Now, the competitive environment in the industry is somewhat established, and several big tech companies, including Google, have competing models, leading to new technological breakthroughs that will once again shock the AI industry and bring lightning-fast development. It will take time, Pichai told the New York Times. DealBook Summit was held last week.
“I think progress is going to get more difficult. As we look at (2025), the low-hanging fruit is gone,” Pichai said, adding, “The hill is getting steeper…We definitely need deeper breakthroughs.” It will be,” he added. As we move on to the next stage. ”
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Current language models such as ChatGPT, Google’s Gemini, and Meta’s Llama will be improved over time, particularly in “the reasoning part, the part that completes a sequence of actions more reliably,” Pichai said. These improvements could help bring AI closer to benefiting enterprise users. That hasn’t happened yet, despite technology investments expected to exceed $1 trillion “over the next few years,” according to a recent report from Goldman Sachs.
But Pichai said new seismic shifts that change the way most people think and imagine AI are unlikely to occur within the next year.
Some tech CEOs like Microsoft’s Satya Nadella agree with Pichai. “During the 70 years of the industrial revolution, the industry didn’t grow very much, but then it started to grow…it’s never linear,” Nadella said at the Fast Company Innovation Festival 2024 in October. spoke.
Some people disagree, at least publicly. For example, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman posted on social media platform X in November: “There are no walls.” This is in response to reports that the recently released ChatGPT-4 was only moderately superior to previous models.
Pichai said advances in AI are not completely stalled, and even incremental developments will hone the technology and make it increasingly useful to a wider range of people. Jobs in some industries that don’t require a college degree pay well. According to ZipRecruiter, AI trainers earn an average annual salary of more than $64,000, and agile engineers earn more than $110,000 annually.
“In 10 years, millions more people will have access to (computer programming),” Pichai said.
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