In a notable display of bipartisan agreement, a recent New York Times/Ipsos poll found that 67% of Democrats oppose the inclusion of transgender athletes in women’s sports. 94% of Republicans also echo this opinion. Overall, 79% of Americans believe that men who identify as biologically female should not be allowed to participate in women’s sports.
The study, which surveyed 2,128 people, found that “thinking about transgender female athletes, athletes who were born male but now identify as female, they are more likely to participate in women’s sports.” Do you think they should be allowed to participate or not?”
Research highlights
The findings reflect a growing consensus on the issue, which has sparked national debate, especially during the 2024 presidential campaign. Former President Donald Trump has made opposition to transgender athletes in women’s sports a central theme, gaining support among his base and moderate voters.
Exit polls from Concerned Women for America further underlined the salience of this issue, with 70% of moderate voters agreeing that the issue is important. Specifically, 6% of respondents said it was their top concern, and 44% considered it “very important.”
legislative push
The debate now moves to Parliament House. The Protecting Women and Girls in Sports Act, which aims to ban transgender athletes from participating in women’s leagues, passed the House of Representatives with the support of two Democrats. The bill is expected to pass the Republican-controlled Senate and could be the first bill signed by President-elect Trump.
historical background
This is not the first time public opinion has swung against transgender women’s participation in sports. A 2023 Gallup poll found that nearly 70% of Americans think the same way. Similarly, a 2024 NORC survey showed that 69% of respondents opposed adult transgender female athletes competing in women’s leagues.
big picture
The issue has sparked a broader debate around gender identity, fairness and inclusion in sport. Although opposition is bipartisan, Democrats’ growing resistance to transgender athletes in women’s sports signals a major shift in public opinion and highlights the complexity of the ongoing cultural debate.
