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You are at:Home » OpenAI’s simulated inference AI model matches human level on ARC-AGI benchmark — what does this mean?
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OpenAI’s simulated inference AI model matches human level on ARC-AGI benchmark — what does this mean?

Adnan MaharBy Adnan MaharJanuary 20, 2025No Comments6 Mins Read0 Views
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Artificial intelligence has reached an unexpected revolutionary milestone. OpenAI announced that its tuned o3 model beat the ARC-AGI benchmark, a key test of an AI system’s human-like reasoning ability. What does this result mean and how does it impact our daily lives?

Although this achievement won’t put AGI in our pockets right away, it marks a significant turning point in AI development. However, the enormous computing power required by these models makes them impractical in the consumer market. Even the most powerful phones in 2025 won’t be able to do that. But this breakthrough means AGI is possible, and the benefits may be seen sooner than we think.

A smartphone with the OpenAI logo on the screen rests on a laptop keyboard.

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Understanding the ARC-AGI benchmark

Why did it take 5 years to break out?

The ARC-AGI benchmark stands for Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus for Artificial General Intelligence and measures an AI model’s ability to reason and solve new problems that require adaptability. Created by François Chollet in 2019 as part of a $1 million public competition, this benchmark has remained unbeaten to this day. Benchmarking tasks force models to use inference, logic, and deduction rather than relying on patterns learned from existing datasets.

The ARC-AGI benchmark is not designed to be solved by scaling up existing AI technologies such as LLM. These are called narrow or weak AIs, which are trained to be good at a specific task but lack the flexibility to generalize beyond the training data. It’s not just a matter of throwing more data and computing power at the problem. To beat the benchmark, OpenAI needed to develop a fundamentally new architecture that could emulate human-like reasoning.

To beat the benchmark, OpenAI needed to develop a fundamentally new architecture that could emulate human-like reasoning.

Models like ChatGPT and Gemini are great, but they have limitations. Multimodal systems can process different data types (video, images, audio, text), but only within their training parameters. No matter how sophisticated they become, they will never be able to achieve AGI because they lack the ability to reason, adapt, and generalize like humans.

But they will make a change

Achieving AGI could have far-reaching effects that transform culture and society to an unprecedented degree, for better or worse. In the hands of increasingly powerful corporate giants and billionaires, this technology could be locked into a wall of high pay, further widening economic inequality. However, most of the underlying models are open source, and many of them can be run locally on our machines, so the gap could start to close if they remain accessible.

Pie chart of underlying AI models by access type shows the majority are open source

Source: Wikipedia Commons

Here’s how AGI can change your daily life.

AI assistants that actually work: AGI could mean an end to our frustrations with AI assistants. AI doesn’t need to understand the “right” way to say things because it can guess what we want just like anyone else. Everyone is a programmer: AGI allows anyone to program a computer by providing a small set of sample inputs and outputs. The perfect tutor: AGI will identify the best way for you to study, teach any subject, and tailor lessons to your needs. Better healthcare: AGI acts as a virtual doctor, providing early diagnosis, creating personalized health plans, and helping patients and doctors communicate in an easily understandable way. Democratization of knowledge: Unlike the Internet, which acts as a centralized repository of human knowledge, AGI provides expert-level insights and solutions through natural conversations, reducing inequalities in access to education and expertise. I will.

A better education without debt and less reliance on a predatory health care system would put a lot of money back into the hands of ordinary people. Expert-level advice and the ability to program anything within their computing power allows individuals to compete against unchecked corporations and make their creations more locally accessible. At least you can ask devices to perform tasks and verify that they consistently behave as intended.

it could just be hype

There is already too much inflation

Graph showing performance benchmarks where AI outperformed humans

Source: Wikipedia Commons

There has been endless hype around AI over the past few years. Still, for most people, it’s hard to tell what really makes life better and what’s an empty promise. Public opinion on AI remains divided. According to a recent YouGov survey, 42% of Americans believe AI will have a negative impact on society, and 46% of adults under 45 say AI has made their lives easier.

The importance of the ARC-AGI benchmark is also relative. While this is an important step towards AGI, it is not enough. This benchmark evaluates problem solving within a specific type of abstract task rather than a real-world application. This does not mean that these models are ready for practical use. Saying your baby’s first words or taking their first steps are milestones, but they don’t mean they’ll become fluent. This achievement is only an early sign of possibility.

Saying your baby’s first words or taking their first steps are milestones, but they don’t mean they’ll become fluent. This achievement is only an early sign of possibility.

Although this breakthrough advances model architecture, it is not the first time that AI has surpassed human performance on intellectual tasks. Hardware limitations continue to hinder consumer adoption. OpenAI’s highly efficient o3 model costs $20 per task, making it expensive for everyday use. High-compute configurations require 172 times more power and cost thousands of dollars per task.

Looking at the big picture

We are already in a new era of AI

Infographic showing results from a survey of AI experts on timeline estimation for artificial intelligence

Source: Wikipedia Commons

While skepticism is understandable, ignoring this breakthrough misses its broader implications. This is not just another iteration of Narrow AI. It’s a transition to general purpose AI. Beating the ARC-AGI benchmark proves that AGI is possible and can happen sooner than expected. Even if the current system is impractical, it provides the basis for a more efficient and affordable model.

This milestone is not intended for short-term gain. It’s about redefining what’s possible. Just as the first smartphones were limited compared to today’s devices, the early stages of AGI portend major changes in our lives. OpenAI’s achievements are more than just technical milestones. A glimpse into the future of AI.

Digital illustration of a circuit network in the shape of a brain on a dark blue background. Symbolizing the concepts of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the glowing connection points represent neural activity and data processing.

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The process by which a computer learns to predict trends in stock prices

Navigating the future of AGI

Although practical applications may be years away, this breakthrough represents a turning point in the way AI systems operate. For everyday users, it promises smarter, more intuitive technology that feels like you’re talking to another person without having to learn specific commands. The possibilities are endless, but advances like this and Google’s Project Astra could bring a functional AI assistant to our pockets.

The rapid pace of AI development highlights the need for regulation and ethical oversight. AGI will change our lives, but without guardrails, things could get much worse. I am optimistic as I have experienced improvements in my life and hope that this change will benefit everyone.



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Adnan Mahar
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Adnan is a passionate doctor from Pakistan with a keen interest in exploring the world of politics, sports, and international affairs. As an avid reader and lifelong learner, he is deeply committed to sharing insights, perspectives, and thought-provoking ideas. His journey combines a love for knowledge with an analytical approach to current events, aiming to inspire meaningful conversations and broaden understanding across a wide range of topics.

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