REcep Tayyiperdoğan has been on a delicate border between the western part, Russia and China for over 20 years. Turkey has gained a profit by supporting both sides in the Russian War War, has expanded its military scope and influence on Syria, Libya, South Caucasus, East Mediterranean, and Gulf, and Africa, Central Asia, West Vulcan. We expanded soft power to construct a considerable defense industry.
When international experts evaluate this, they often rely on the term “balanced act.” Turkish analysts prefer to explore the “strategic autonomy”, that is, the ability to protect the interests of all threats to all threats without relying on external power.
But during the second Trump era, can Erdogan maintain his geopolitical acrobatics and enjoy profits? The bromans between the two strong people characterized Trump’s last term, but there was a series of clashes that made a deep distrust between Turkey and the United States.
“This is the fifth US President (Erdogan) … he is not afraid of an elliptical office exactly,” said Aaron Stein, Turkish expert, chairman of the US Foreign Policy Research Institute. , He talked to a recent European policy center event. This relationship is now one of the stable instability, and both countries have not been able to get along anymore, but “there is no destruction of NATO links.”
Under Donald Trump’s first administration, the United States purchased advanced air defense systems from Russia, Ankala ignored Washington, and then driven Turkey from the flagship F35 fighter consortium.
Erdogan hugged the United States, hugging Fetla Gulen, a Pennsylvanian -based Turkish perspictor, Fetla Gulen. Guren died last year and removed one irritation.
At one point, Trump threatened to destroy Turkey’s economy if Erdogan dispatched the army to Syria and attacked the US -supported Kurdish army.
However, Erdogan was one of the world leaders who welcomed Trump’s second election, but Trump explains authoritative Turkish leaders as a friend and Syria’s Basal Al Asado. He has expressed his praise for the role of Turkey, which causes the collapse of the brutal administration. In December, I fell to Hayat Tahara Alcham (HTS), which Turkey supported.
The return of mercury US leaders who are less likely to be isolated into his sophisticated records on human rights, media freedom, and national capture rather than Joe Biden has the opportunity and pitfalls of Turkey. Support for Israel and Hamas, which may be more severe for his bold hostility.
Erdogan had never been welcomed by the White House under Biden, and his bond was Frosty, but Trump is still calling. The new administration recognizes that Turkey, a very important country of 85 million people in Hinge, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, has controlled access to the Black Sea. From Central Asia to Africa and Arab world.
Turkey has refused to participate in the Western sanctions against Russia over the war in Ukraine, and has recently failed to participate in the non -western emerging BRICS group controlled by Moscow and Beijing. It is still fixed to the west as an eternal member. No Hope, candidate for EU membership.
In terms of positive aspects, Turkey and US experts are looking at the opportunity to take a break from Russian S-400 missiles. The compromise is that the U.S. Air Force protects the excreted Russian kit stored in Incilllik Airbase, which is one of the largest intensive units in the Middle East. In return, Washington lifts weapons sanctions in Turkey and sells F35, but it is not clear that Ankara, which is developing its own fighter, will be enthusiastic about participating in the program again.
You may also have the opportunity for the United States and Turkey to cooperate in Syria. Syria has been a PKK -derivative since Washington helped Syria Democratic Army (SDF) to Syrian Democratic Army (SDF), a militia in the northeastern Syrian Syrian. Stein called the alliance “ultimate crime” in Türkiye’s eyes.
As part of an effort to leave the “Eternal War in the Middle East,” Trump failed in his first term to withdraw US special units with SDF with Syrian Islanic.
There is speculation that Erdogan may offer to mediate Trump and Vladimir Putin.
The relationship with the eternal rival Greece has returned to a constructive stage after threatening Erdogan to bomb the neighbor of the Turkish Aegian Sea during his last presidential election.
Ankara also complies with a modest warning from the US Treasury, and supports bank activities that support Russia’s Oligar Hi to move offshore and promote trade with Moscow with the United States and European Union. It is suppressed. Despite the loss of Russian sightseeing, trade with Russia in Turkey has almost tripled since the full -fledged invasion of Ukraine in Moscow. However, Ankara is also important in the early days of the war and continues to supply weapons to Kiev, which is currently manufactured in Ukraine.
I guess Turkish commentators may offer Erdogan to mediate between Trump and Vladimir Putin. However, former Turkish diplomat Alpercoşkun said that Putin did not believe that it was not in Turkey after Syria, especially in Syria.
On the negative side, the fully corrupt support for Erdogan’s Hamas and Palestinian resistance -Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netaniyahu blamed him as “Genocide” and comparing him with Hitler, conflicting him with the Israel Trump administration. Maybe.
However, on October 7, 2023, Erdogen welcomed Netaniyafu to Turkey just before the massacre of a civilian in Hamas, and recovered his relationship.
Ankara officially cut off trade relationships with Israel last year, but Mustafa Idon, chairman of the Turkish International Relations Council, continues to flow to Israel through Azerbaijan oil through the port of Turkey. He said that trade was continuing. Türkiye’s official statistics suggest that business will continue with another name. Similarly, Sin Bet, the head of Israeli’s internal security service, reported from Israeli media that it had held a secret talk with Turkish counter part, Ibrahim Calun, in November.
Practical and western education advisors, such as Calun and Hakan Fidin Foreign Ministers, are thought to be the dominance of Erdogan, but hard ethnic and political advisors seem to be on the side.
Probably, the biggest risk of the wildcards against the bond between the United States and Turkey may be directly confronted by Turkey and Israel in Syria, where they have effectively become neighbors in the vacuum of security. Idun is increasingly talking about Turkey as a threat to the Jewish state, while Israel’s politicians and scholars are increasingly working with the Kurdish fighters among the Turkish military planners. He pointed out that he was afraid to be a threat to Turkey.
The collision of Israel Turkey was able to destroy Trump’s plan to relieve and leave the Middle East. Erdogan is too plugmatic and cannot be realized.
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