Seoul, Korea
CNN
–
President Donald Trump is looking for a vast and next -generation missile defense shield in the mainland of the United States. This is a model of Israel’s terrible defense and is represented by its characteristic iron dome system.
The protective dome in the United States, hundreds of times the country of Israel, requires a large scale, not only in the cosmic interceptor, almost decades away.
However, on the soil, the Pacific Island of Guam, which is probably the most vulnerable soil for missile attacks, the work is on progress with a type of multi -layered missile defense that can refer to the road.
But experts say they are facing sudden issues.
“There is no high -speed or panacea solution. We have made a decision in the second half of the game, despite the fact that a foresighted military leader in the 1990s has come.
Less than 175,000 people live on the US territory of Guam, a 210 -square miles of the Pacific Ocean. In addition, Host of Andersen Air Force Base, which is the main basis of US Air Force bombers such as the B-1, B-52, and sometimes stealth B-2, and is essential for any defense in the United States nuclear attack submarine submarines. Then Taiwan.
The island is less than 1,900 miles (3,000 kilometers) from China (PRC), 2,100 miles from North Korea. The mock is published in a Chinese military advertising video, and North Korea has threatened it.
However, the U.S. military is not stationary and is promoting the ability to oppose local threats.
In December of last year, the US Missile Defense Agency (MDA) uses the Age Gum system that fired a type of land interceptor used by the US Navy ship to destroy the trajectory, and the first success of a ballistic missile target from the island. The intercept was conducted. Missile target in the test.
“The current units can protect Guam from the threat of North Korean ballistic missiles today, but the regional threats, including those from PRC, continue to evolve rapidly,” said MDA. Michel Atkinson, the operating director, stated in 2023.
In the December test, the US Air Force C-17 Airplane released a medium-range ballistic missile target off the coast of Guam. After the target was tracked by a powerful radar, according to the release of the MDA and Lockheed Martin manufacturer of the GUAM AEGIS system, an interceptor was launched from the vertical launch system on the island, extracting it outside the atmosphere of the earth. Ta.
It was “important milestones in Guam and the defense of the region,” and said Greg Huffman, commander of the joint taskforce Micronesia.
However, the intercept test exceeded the land Aegis system, and there were other military element test systems that form important parts of the multi -layer concept that Trump wants to see.
It is similar to Israelier Fields, a four -layer system that is often gathered under the Monica of Iron Dome after the most famous and lowest layer. While the iron dome fights the rocket and the artillery weapon, David’s sling protects it from a threat of short and medium range, and the arrow 2 and the arrow 3 system stop the ballistic missile.
Similarly, the US Indo-Pacific Command uses the December intercept to test the tracking capacity of the U.S. military high altitude area defense (THAAD) system based on Guam. I said.
THAAD is designed to stop the missile that comes in at the target terminal or descent stage, but Ejis intercepts on the outside of the Earth’s atmosphere before missiles dive on the target.
The U.S. Army also adopts a patriot missile battery designed to perform a much lower altitude intercept as the final stage of Guam’s defense. Both the Thaad system and the Patriot system are used to be successful in battle.
All three people -Age, tedds, and Patriot form a integrated air and missile defense system (EIAMD) that are finally expanded in Guam. , Hae Sonic Glide, the threat of cruise missiles. ”
According to the MDA, the system is also relying on input from US satellites and cosmic -based sensors and is approaching Trump’s missile defense vision.
However, the complete Guam Missile Defense timeline is expected to take at least 10 years, indicating the task of building a system for fighting trajectory and polar sound glide missiles. It does not help with the progress of missile technology. Missile technology often evolves faster than how to defend it.
And Trump’s concept of next -generation missile defense is far beyond a few years ahead of Guam, about 10 times the island of Manhattan.
Mr. Trump said in a presidential order that “the United States) to” the United States) to be created in the United States because the United States faced the “catastrophic threat” from the trajectory. Cruise and high sonic missile.
His ambitious presidential orders are “developing and developing the hyper and trajectory trajectory spaces sensor, the growing space -based intercept, the multiplied fighter spacing architecture, the ability to defeat the salvation before launch, and the non -flesh thicknessillile defense. Ability, lower and terminal cut function.
Trump orders do not give such a cost of such a system, but hundreds of billions of dollars will probably be conservative.
Matt Corda, an associate director of the American Scientist’s Federation of Scientists, states:
And as far as money is about money, the attacker has the advantage.
“The attack is cheaper than the defense every time,” said Corda.
Even if US technology can develop and develop everything that Trump is looking for, it may be found that contractable missile defense is still impossible.
It has been advertised by many people as the world’s best missile defense, but last year’s attack by Iran has shown that the iron that took place was far from invincible.
Iran achieved it by launching a large number of weapons in Israel. Many of the launched missiles were intercepted, but some passed through. Missile defense experts have long pointed out that it was one way to defeat the missile defense system.
Star, a former U.S. Navy captain, who was working on the Aegis Missile Defense System in the early days, stated that missile defense could “saturate” and where the ballistic missile came in. Knowing, the intercept has pointed out that they must be directed. target.
“The ballistic missile can only guide a lot of (interceptor) at once, while there is an internal guidance system,” said Sister.
Defender problems can be more difficult if you warhead with a “control -in -flushed vehicle”. This may change the direction as you approach the atmosphere again and approach the target from various directions. Both China and Russia have such abilities.
“The target that comes directly to you is the easiest to intercept, and the larger the horizontal displacement, the more difficult the intercept equation,” said Chuster.
The enemy can make the problem worse by firing a decay missile from a more important target. This can cause catastrophic damage if it is accompanied by a nuclear warhead.
Of course, when the system is actually deployed, everything works.
And, according to Sstar, the biggest obstacle to Trump’s shield plan may be the ignored US production and procurement system, despite the early successes demonstrated in Guam.
“Our production rate is criminally low in my opinion,” he said. “We have been sleeping on a switch for over 10 years.”
SCHUSTER said it was not just a matter of manufacturing infrastructure, but a limited knowledge and skill to produce them.
“We need to invest in both plants, but this works.
