IFor Iran, it was a disastrous for several months for local rivals and enemies. Israeli’s security forces have inconvenienced Iran’s two powerful alliance Leadership. Gaza’s hamas and lebanon’s hizvola. The surprising collapse of the Syrian Bashal Al -Asado government not only sacrifice the ally of the most important state in Iran, but also blocked the routes used to supply weapons and support to Hezbola. Yemen’s Futi Rebellan continues to attack traffic congestion through the Red Sea, but a brave Israel, including the interior of Yemen, has a direct hit against fighters. Iran also recognizes that Moscow’s needs exceed its generosity because Russia, the most important allies outside the Middle East, is hooked on Ukraine. In short, Iran has seen the collapse of the regional empire by the so -called resistance axis of resistance.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered a direct strike in Iran’s territory in 2024. Donald Trump, which has long been asserted that Iran has only responded to the “maximum pressure”, has been once again the US President. He does not want a full -fledged war with Iran, but is carefully looking at the signs that the leader may want to build a nuclear bomb. There is also temptation in both the United States and Israel that maximize pressure on military behavior.
Iranian domestic issues may have a greater threat to the leaders of the Islamic Republic. The economy suffering from sanctions is operated by smoke. The value of the currency is a waste, the inflation rate is about 30 %, and the wide people of Iranian people are, of course, angry.
Read more: Humilion overseas, Iran is also surrounded by home
The latest public dissatisfaction focuses on saving natural gas, which is forced to have a sporadic power outage and forced schools and companies to be closed, and to save natural gas that supplies most of the countries and heat. I am. The economy is very incompetent, corrupted and managed, and Iran, which has the second largest natural gas reserves in the world, faces a serious lack of gas. (Instead, Iran burns oil and has some of the most contaminated cities in the world.)
The continuous attempts of the administration to re-impose radical social rules and censorship have regenerated the demonstration squad that supported the protest of 2022-2023 “Women, Life, Freedom”. For many Iranians, the aggressive police execution of a law that requires women to wear Hijabs adds S humiliation to Iran’s economic isolation. Only 50 % of voters participated in last year’s presidential election. This is a low person for Iran. Nowadays, even the hard -line supporters of the administration are dissatisfied, and I am dissatisfied with the fact that Iran did almost nothing to save Syria Assad from a humiliating flight to Moscow. 。 Iran has recently spent billions of dollars and has strengthened his ability to survive Assad’s own civil war. The investment is currently burned.
In order to manage these failures, he fell to Masud Pezukian, the President of Iranian “Reform”. The suffering president still has the great institutional support of the political and powerful chairman of the Supreme Leader Ali Hamee and the Congress Mohamad Bagger Galibuff. However, the number of Iranians who once hoped that Peseshkian could make a positive change is increasing, but now he is regarded as a weak leader.
And there are more and more big questions in the background. If you are 85 years old and your health is poor, who will take power if Hamei dies? The Iranian Revolutionary Guard and the power brokers in the office have been preparing for inheritance for years. However, this is the first relocation of the best power in Iran since 1989, the second of the 45 -year history of the Islamic Republic.
Some US and Israeli governments argue that the Tehran administration is near the brink that the timing push may driven deep by. However, Iran is a injured lion, but the huge missile and drone arsenal keep their nails sharply. If they feel that they are being pushed into the corners overseas or at home, they can still take action to draw the United States into another war. That is how Iran’s weakness is a world problem.
