IWill this really be the year that the government “gets things done”? Keir Starmer has branded this year a “year of rebuilding” and has returned to work with a series of announcements he claims show the government is serious about rebuilding the NHS. Tomorrow, he is expected to unveil a selective recovery plan for health services, which he hopes will be seen as a fundamental overhaul and a sign that he is on the right track after a difficult tenure as prime minister. I am doing it.
These changes include the ability for patients to self-address for tests and scans, as well as being seen on the same day as those tests, so they can continue treatment and know that nothing is wrong. This includes things you can do to feel safe. Changes have also been made to the way hip and knee replacements are scheduled to avoid routine cancellations during the winter crisis.
That’s all well and good, but Mr Starmer’s first move in the rebuilding year was to delay doing anything about one of the biggest failures in modern public policy-making. By setting up a long-term commission on the creation of the National Care Service, which will not report until 2028, the Prime Minister is looking like one of those builders who shows up whenever he feels like it and leaves the site under a tarpaulin for months on end. There is a risk of being exposed. At once.
Social care is an extreme example of a policy issue on which Labor needs to do serious rebuilding work. Successive governments have produced extensive documents in the form of committees, task forces and even manifesto proposals, but very little of any of this has been translated into concrete form. reform.
The 2028 deadline for the final report appears to have been almost deliberately designed to prevent meaningful reform and hold other parties accountable for not supporting it. We know from Andy Burnham’s experience in 2009 what happens when the government holds a cross-party consultation on social security reform and it ends just before an election. The consensus proves to be false, and political parties turn against each other and exploit reform proposals. As an attack, they raised scary slogans like the ‘death tax’, or the ‘dementia tax’, which Labor itself campaigned against in the 2017 election. It’s unclear how the commission’s attempt at bipartisan consultation would work this time around, since politics hasn’t suddenly reached a point where everyone is holding hands and singing kumbaya.
If Labor does not want to accelerate social security reform, it will find it difficult to deliver the improvements to the National Health Service that it wants. I say “whatever” because I don’t really know what those changes are, other than a rough sketch that no sane builder would accept as a plan. We know ministers want to move resources from the acute sector to prevention and community settings, but we won’t know how until this spring.
Mr Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves announce £22.6bn for the health service in the budget without giving any details of the reforms needed, after insisting there would be “no more funding for the NHS without reform” did. They will not happen before there is a “national dialogue” about how health services need to change.
Real reform takes a long time to implement and even longer to see results.
The main purpose of this dialogue, and of the cross-party consultation on social care that begins next month, is not to propose new ideas that no one has thought of before, but to gain public political buy-in for the plans that the government will ultimately pursue. It is. still.
If a “national dialogue” does not lead to a clear plan that is already in place by the end of this year, it is not unreasonable to suggest that Starmer and his cabinet are less serious about this big undertaking. Probably. As they claim, they are rebuilding the project.
Real reform takes a long time to implement and even longer to see results. So there are also political reasons to act now. By the next election, Labor will show solid signs of progress to unstable voters as evidence that it is worth staying in the party for a second term, rather than relying on other parties to complete its rebuilding project. There is a need. Hope they do a better job.
It’s not just the NHS and social care that will see this year as a year for construction work. Ministers have begun to talk about their broader intentions for welfare reform, but so far they have only laid out a rough outline of how benefits will work differently, without providing details. Enabling people to return to work with the skills they need is not just a nice side project for this government, but an essential part of economic growth.
Dissatisfaction with the welfare state and job market often manifests itself in voters’ anger at unchecked immigration, both legal and illegal. That means this year needs to be a year of regular but piecemeal announcements about eradicating gangs and reducing employers’ dependence on foreign countries. Employees are connected by a strategy that makes sense.
Immigration issues are not a side project either. There is now a populist alternative in the form of Reform Britain, which presents a real challenge to both Labor and the Conservative Party in the ‘red wall’ area. Right-wing politicians are no doubt guilty of bringing this issue up, but it is important to note that those who are seriously considering the current issues have concluded that governments cannot control their borders as long as this system is in place. It is also true that it is attached. The same goes for the kinds of changes Mr Starmer has already ruled out, such as breaking the international legal framework of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR). Voters are unlikely to admire their moral fortitude.
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The justice system, like social care, is overlooked, challenged and has been on the prostrate for years, something Starmer is also bitterly complained about by his opponents. Government sentencing reform must be accompanied by appropriate investment in rehabilitation and reform of the prison system. Incarcerated people would then have something more than a prison “library” with a few difficult books they can’t read. Also, there are too few staff to unlock the door for daily exercise.
Those at the very end of the justice system – victims of crime – also need a sense that the government has not forgotten them, with a combination of increased National Insurance contributions for employers and funding cuts to victim charities. It is said that The sector is experiencing serious difficulties in continuing operations. Ministers insist further details will be announced this year on how to support victims, but for now the industry is holding its breath and getting it wrong about what a Labor government will mean for the people it supports. I hope you have an idea.
Mr Starmer has great faith in himself as a better politician and one who knows how to run a public service than any previous Tory leader. Most people on the left truly believe that they came into politics with a moral mission, and that the right lacks the compassion and ethics to rebuild the country. It will therefore be a particularly unpleasant experience for Labor backbenchers if, in the coming months, the Conservatives are able to create a narrative that Labor is failing to achieve the goals that MPs set out to achieve by entering politics. It will be.
Disqualifying the NHS, leaving vulnerable people without the social care they need and deserve, cutting winter fuel payments and making a promise to Waspi Women (Women Against State Pension Inequalities) taxing charities and hospices, these are not issues. That’s what Labor MPs were elected to do. One can only imagine the reaction from Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch, who pointed out that the Conservative Party also did absolutely nothing to protect vulnerable people. This may serve as a reminder to the Conservatives of how much work they have to do before they can be re-elected, but it’s not enough to stir up the forces in support of the Prime Minister, since this is essentially what the Prime Minister is saying. It’s not exciting content. , but you had it worse. ”
Starmer very much enjoys the “you had it worse” attack, like a builder complaining about the last batch of cowboys. But this is the year he has to prove he can do more than just talk. If he’s still hiding his plans under a tarpaulin by the end of 2025 and blames the last lot, he chose the right builder when he asked voters to stick with him in the next election. Convincing voters of this will be even more difficult. By then, their own MPs will be deeply offended if they begin to believe Tory attacks that they are not rebuilding the country for those who need it most.
Isabel Hardman is deputy editor of The Spectator and presenter of The Week on Westminster’s Radio 4.