Since Shake -Hashina’s authoritarian rules overthrowed in August 2024, two shifts in the region have rebuilt the geopolitical environment. The first shift was a steady deterioration of the relationship with India with Bangladesh. New Delhi, which has been suffering from sudden erosion of its effect, could not reduce the speed and degree of Dhaka’s Indian policy. Earlier in 2024, Bangladesh was a typical example of the success of the first policy in India. By the end of the year, that was the most prominent example of its limits.
Many commentators have documented the reason for Delhi Dhaka’s parting. I would like to talk about other major changes in South Asia and analyze the consequences of that precedent. In a modest way, the growing Bonomy between Dhaka and Islamabard is intriguing. In the East Pakistan, Bangladesh was broken and independent in 1971 with the help of India. Pakistan has been recognized in Bangladesh in 1974 and has been recognized since his relationship with the two countries was deprived. However, in the past few months, the two countries have moved rapidly, updating the military and Intellignce news and established.
Strategic relationships and India concerns
Bangladesh is mostly dominated by Muhammad Yunus, a de facto ruler, to recover his relationship with India, or to deal with two major concerns in India, that is, the empowerment of radical power and the rise of anti -Hindu violence. I’m not working, but I’m working hard to improve my relationship with Pakistan. His talks with Pakistanian Prime Minister Shebaz Sharif at the D-8 Summit in Cairo in December 2024 were turning points. Yunus called for a solution to related issues in 1971. Perhaps Bangladesh was sought to solve a prolonged dissatisfaction. Shalif agreed to investigate the problem and sought a more strategic relationship between the two siblings.
Since then, the fuss of activities emphasizes that the two countries are serious about investing in strategic relationships. The representative of the senior Bangladesh officer, led by General SM KAMARUL-HASSAN, visited Pakistan and was welcomed by Pakistan’s Land Chief ASIM MUNIR. The Bangladesh Navy participated in the annual multi -country Navy exercise in Pakistan, called “Aman.” This is a major advancement in military cooperation. The Indian media reports that General Asim Malik, General of ISI, led by Pakistani’s Intelligence Director of Intelligence. These are not just diplomatic exchange. They are clear signs of strengthening security and intelligence.
Pakistan is the “iron brothers”, and China has enjoyed a close relationship with Bangladesh, so Beijing welcomes this development. Needless to say, it raises concerns in New Delhi.
From these developments, India has three security concerns. One is that the release of a radical element from a prison in Bangladesh, which has anti -Indian emotions, is driving the wedge between India and Bangladesh. Second, the mainstream of these extremists has released violence against Bangladesh Hindu. Narendra Modi’s government has been pressure from the Indian Hind Tuva army to act in their defense. The Modi government has raised this issue several times to Yunus and the US government. And, three, India is worried that Pakistan may use Bangladesh as a stepping stone to make the northeast of India unstable. Imagine a steady supply of weapons to manipool cucumber.
What is it for Pakistan?
Pakistan has long been alienated and alienated from South Asia for the rise of the Indian economy and cultural hegemony to its region. However, the rise in the struggle between India and Bangladesh and the unexpected outreach to Yunus Pakistan have once again given Islamabado -related opportunities for South Asia. Pakistan has never missed the opportunity to cause trouble in India, and this growing strategic partnership with Bangladesh looks at the vulnerable northeast of India, the weak abdomen.
For the past few years, India has developed a relationship with Pakistani’s allies and client, Afghanistan, and has effectively deprived Pakistan’s strategic depth. Pakistan can now return his favors by nurturing the same relationship with Bangladesh.
Pakistan has no resources to provide economic interests like India, which provides billions of dollars and credit to Bangladesh. Bangladesh and India’s trade are about $ 15 billion, 15 times the value of Bangladesh Pakistan. Pakistan cannot replace India as a trade partner or an economic crutch. Therefore, you must rely on the growing anti -Indian emotions in Bangladesh in Bangladesh. In order to solidify a new partnership with Bangladesh, you must rely on India’s anti -Bangladesh enthusiasm.
What does Bangladesh want?
Bangladesh is looking for a new form of nationalism, a new form, and a new alliance. The current political leadership, including the provisional leader Yunus, seems to be equally equated Shake Hashina and her authoritative government from Indian hegemony. Thus, their attempts at home include new foreign policy without India. Their problems have deteriorated by the US President Donald Trump’s election as the US President Donald Trump’s elections as the Biden administration now has no financial and diplomatic support. They feel more vulnerable, and as a result, Pakistan and outreach to China gain more urgency.
Bangladesh is changing Pakistan and increasing China’s footprints to change South Asian geopolitics. However, recent decompression between China and India has promised a huge trade dividend for exports in China, which is looking for a market for expanding markets other than the United States and Europe, and has made a Chinese anti -Indian design in Bangladesh. It may be softened. The wise China and the uncertain United States are suddenly love for Pakistan because Bangladesh is being tossed by a stronger war.
Bangladesh is currently facing three major issues from India, the United States, and the Awami Federation. India has greatly pressure on Bangladesh about ethnic minority Light. Bangladesh is greatly dependent on India for food, electricity, and raw materials in the clothing industry, which is the mainstay of the economy. India can use these dependencies to impair it. Under Trump, the United States seems to have abandoned Bangladesh. Without the United States, Bangladesh’s vulnerable economy and vulnerable governments could easily collapse. Finally, the AWAMI League is planning a large -scale protest, which could create more domestic turmoil and security issues for the Yunus government.
Online evaluation
The expansion of the alliance with Pakistan’s Bangladesh does not bring stability to this area. Rather, it raises geopolitical temperature and causes more pressure from India in Bangladesh. Washington’s indifference in Bangladesh means that India has more freedom to deal with Bangladesh. Improving relationships between China and India and increased access to the market will delay the security -related support that Bangladesh requires. China is unlikely to confuse India while working hard to eliminate tension with India. Bangladesh is more unstable, and the triangle of India, Pakistan Bangladesh, is seeking more intense military and intellectual maneuver.
