A shrinking financial powerhouse
The United Kingdom (UK) stock market, once a bastion of global finance, is facing significant challenges, facing liquidity issues, declining investor confidence and competition from more dynamic financial hubs. . While the United States (US) market continues to experience strong growth, the story of the UK’s Square Mile tells a more alarming story.
This article examines the current state of the UK stock market in the context of domestic and international developments and provides insight into its struggles and potential opportunities.
Shrinking UK market
The UK market is shrinking at the fastest pace in a decade, with the number of listed companies falling from 3,250 in 2007 to fewer than 1,800 today. London attracted just 17 flotation companies in 2024, raising $971 million, while 88 companies lost money over the same period.
Major companies such as ARM and Revolut have chosen to list on the more profitable and better capitalized US market, leaving the UK behind in the global financial race. Initial public offering (IPO) funding in London will fall by 9% in 2024 to just $1 billion, making the UK ranked 20th in the world for IPO activity – just a fraction of the UK’s size 1% of the market is now outperforming London in attracting new properties.
US Market Growth and Republican Policy: A Global Contrast
The US stock market recorded double-digit growth for two consecutive years in 2023 and 2024, supported by a bullish mood supported by Republican control of the Senate (majority 4) and House of Representatives (majority 5).
The Grand Old Party (GOP) is rushing to pass its legislative agenda ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, and history suggests it could lose one or both of its majorities. The strong US stock market stands in sharp contrast to the stagnation in the UK market, which has struggled to attract capital and business over the past decade.
Key challenges facing the UK stock market
Lack of liquidity: UK pension funds currently invest just 6% of their $750 billion in domestic equities, down from 48% in 2000 and 44% in the US. Factors: 0.5% stamp duty on transactions could raise $4 billion, reach $5.5 billion annually, but prevent companies from going public Low retail participation: UK savers invest just 8% of their assets in shares. 33% in the US. About $375 billion is sitting in cash savings accounts Outflows from UK equity funds: According to the Sunday Times, investors have withdrawn £25 billion from domestic equity funds since May 2021, leading to Activist campaigns: According to Alvarez and Marsal (A&M), there will be 59 campaigns against listed companies in the UK in 2024. vulnerabilities were revealed despite the fact that several companies were exposed to undervalued companies.
Impact on the UK economy
The finance and insurance sector is a major contributor to the UK’s gross domestic product (GDP), accounting for 9% directly and rising to 12% when related professional services are included. The Square Mile generates $121.25 billion annually and employs 678,000 workers, underscoring its economic importance.
However, the market contraction threatens the UK’s status as a global financial center and could have a major impact on tax revenues.
Signs of possible recovery
Despite these challenges, there are promising developments.
Shawbrook Group considers £2bn flotation UK government and financial regulators propose reforms to attract investment and listings, potentially boosting activity Proposed changes include tax reforms This includes improving listing incentives and allocating savings to stocks to restore confidence.
Although challenges remain, the UK market offers opportunities for diligent investors who conduct thorough research and maintain a long-term perspective.