Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, is often asked to make predictions about how AI will change our lives. He thinks about where we’re headed with AGI, superintelligence, agent AI, and more. Here are some of his predictions about AI. The future of AI.
For years, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has shared his predictions about where he thinks we’re headed in areas like artificial general intelligence, superintelligence, and agent AI, and when we’ll get there. .
He is generally bullish on these technologies. Defined by ChatGPT maker OpenAI as “AI systems that are generally smarter than humans,” AGI is said to increase productivity by handling simple tasks and freeing people up for more abstract tasks and decision-making. I’m thinking. He also said in a May 2024 interview at Harvard Business School that he believes it will create “shared intelligence,” which will lead to “prosperity at scale,” and that “the era of intelligence will begin.” He predicted 2024 in a blog post titled “.
Someday, Altman predicts, in 2024, everyone will have a “personal AI team full of virtual experts in a variety of fields who will be able to collaborate to create almost anything we can imagine.” said in a blog post.
“AI models will soon act as autonomous personal assistants that perform specific tasks on our behalf, such as coordinating medical care on your behalf. It’s going to be very good, and it’s going to help us improve our power generation systems and make scientific advances across the board,” he added.
As for timelines, Altman said in a January 2025 blog post that he believes this year “could see the first AI agents ‘join the workforce’ and significantly change the output of companies.” He said there was.
He told the New York Times’ Dealbook Summit in December that he thinks AGI “can be achieved faster than most people in the world think, and it’s not that important.”
“I am confident that we now know how to build AGI as we have understood it,” he added in a January post.
Beyond AGI, the company is also focusing on superintelligence, which it defines as “future AI systems that are dramatically more capable than AGI.”
In a blog post earlier this year, he said, “Superintelligent tools have the potential to vastly accelerate scientific discovery and innovation far beyond what we could do alone, resulting in greater abundance and prosperity.” “It has the potential to significantly increase
However, Altman shares some concerns about the potential for AI development to go awry.
“Without building adequate infrastructure,” he wrote last year, “AI will become a very limited resource to wage war on, and a tool primarily for the wealthy.” He cited the need to reduce computing costs and the huge demand for enough chips and energy to power AI.
Then there is the impact on people’s jobs.
“Most jobs will change more slowly than many people realize, and the things we need to do (even if they don’t look like ‘real jobs’ to us today)” “I have no fear that it will disappear,” he writes in his book. 2024 Blog Post.
At the same time, he acknowledged that many people will lose their jobs in the process by 2023.
“A lot of people working on AI pretend that AI can only be good, that it can only complement, not replace anyone,” he said. “Jobs will definitely disappear, a complete stop.”
And his darkest statement yet about AI was in a 2023 interview when he said the worst-case scenario was “all of us going out.”
To that end, Altman spoke about the need for guardrails to ensure responsible AI development.
“I don’t think I can overstate the importance of AI safety and coordination efforts,” he said in a 2023 interview. “I would like to see a lot more of that happen. ” he said.