It’s time to bend my knees -or at least it turned into reality.
A Russian diplomat’s representative arrived last Tuesday at a white SUV caravan for a Damascus summit. Al Assad.
To do so, it is necessary for the Russian army to help Mr. Al Asado for many years and the Russian troops who have been mercilessly bombed.
Waiting for them was Amed Alshala, who survived the 10 -year Russian bombing to appear as a new provisional leader in Syria. He stood at the Presidential Palace and faced the Clemlin messenger for the long -awaited calculation.
The subsequent discussions have not been solved for the first time between Moscow and Damascus since the end of the war near 14 years. However, they represent the beginning of a potentially drawn negotiations on what roles played in Syria after the war, and maintains Al asads power. I lost my bid to do.
The conference has demonstrated something like a geopolitical horse trade that began in the aftermath of Syria’s civil war -may rebuild the Middle East. Syria’s starting leadership is trying to win legitimacy, safety, and assistance through the realization of disciplined stone eyes, so the world’s power is shaking in search of influence.
“Damascus’s general air is that we don’t need anybody at this point, including the original enemies,” said Washington’s Senior Fellowo, Charles Listar in the Middle East Research Institute in Washington. I said. “Therefore, escalation and plagmatism are the name of the game.”
Still, it was Russian who was asked to make concessions. Mr. Alshala emphasized that a new relationship with Moscow “must deal with past mistakes” and demanded in a statement that Russia had demanded compensation for the destruction caused by Russia.
According to the two -person caretaker government officials with the knowledge of the meeting, Moscow demanded Al asad and his top friends.
Russian President Vladimir V. Putin is a former spy who praised loyalty, but he will almost never agree. The day after the meeting, Alshala asked if he had demanded al -Asado, but Putin’s spokesman refused to comment.
Otherwise, Alshala seemed surprisingly acceptable to cooperate with Russia, in contrast to Iran. Alasad’s other important ally states that Damascus’s new authorities are no longer welcome in Syria.
In an interview with the BBC in late December, Alshala quoted Syria’s “many years of strategic relationships” with Moscow and said, “As some people imagine, we are not in a hurry to drive Russia out of Syria. “
He said in another interview with Television in Saudi Arabia that Russia has been providing experts in Syrian power plants for decades and operating a Syrian power plant. Section: Damascus may need Russia in the future.
“They are absolutely desperate for their legitimacy and international support,” Lister said about a new leader in Syria. “Crying a large -scale international rupture is the worst thing they can think of.”
James Martin’s needs, beyond Russia, that he needs Moscow to reconstruct Syria and do not spoil the government with the efforts to build the government. Hannah Notte, an analyst at the Inconsistent Research Center, said.
“This is now a politically built country,” she said. She pointed out that Russians were permanent members of the UN Security Council and could hinder Alshala in many ways if they decided to be “politically compassionate.”
Alshala himself stated that Russia was regarded as the second most powerful army in the world, and said that his newly formed government was in a position to oppose the great power.
At a meeting represented by the Foreign Minister of Foreign Affairs Mikhail Bogdanov, the top Middle East, neither side seemed to be in a hurry to make a big decision. Other regions in the world, especially the United States, European Union, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia, can also affect Russia’s fate.
In recent weeks, a gust of diplomat from them and other countries arrived in Damascus and met Alshala.
Russia wants to maintain a naval base in the Mediterranean Tartus dating back to the Soviet era. Moscow is trying to maintain HMeimim Air Base other than Ratakia, which is used as a supply and stop hub in Africa. So far, the new Syrian authorities have not said no, and Russia has been placed, despite the fact that materials have been moved from the base.
Syria’s practical rhetoric is going back and forth in Moscow.
After many years of defending the Assad administration on the battlefield and the United Nations, Russian leaders have won many years of alliance and expanded the olive branch to new authorities, which had long been accused of terrorists.
“I would call it an improvised day,” said Notte. “It’s a pretty amazing pivot.”
Putin, who gave a lecture at an annual press conference in December, said that Moscow did not lose in Syria, but lost in Syria because it hindered the country of terrorists. He promised to meet him at some point, but he said he had never met Al Assad. It is unknown whether they have since then met.
Russian leaders provided the use of Russian base to provide humanitarian assistance to Syrian people who had weathered Russian bombings a few weeks ago.
He said he would keep Russia there only if Moscow’s profits matched the interests of political powers that had dominated the control.
In the United Nations, Vasily Nebenzya, an ambassador to Russian, said in January that these units are “very competent.” He emphasized Russia and Syria’s friendship that “it has not led to any administration.”
Navy’s lawsuit and Thai were in a meeting with the Russian mission. His past supported his past because Kadda’s fighter became a Muslim rebel leader. In preparation for the conference, he was willing to make his non -biological rhetoric and his ex -enemy, including the United States, would be better.
Alshala was once imprisoned by the U.S. Army and welcomed the Top State Department in December, despite being designated as a terrorist by the US government by a $ 10 million reward. (Washington has withdrawn the prize after the consultation.)
Alsia has needed sanctions from the United States and support for the Security Council in Washington to start Syria’s recovery and access international assistance.
The United States still has an army on the ground and supports the Kurdish -led army in Northeast Syria, which is not controlled by Alshala. He describes his desire to maintain the whole country, including the territory that supports the local army to destroy the Islamic state.
European officials visited Damascus and offered a way to relieve sanctions, but announced that they would be inadvertent to maintaining Russian military beings in Japan.
It is unknown how the Trump administration approaches the question. In December, when the Assad administration fell, Trump said in social media that the war in Syria was “not our fight”, and the United States should have nothing to do with it.
Al Asado’s fate is added to the delicate nature of negotiations between Moscow and Damascus.
Alshala is trying to establish a legitimacy among the Syrian groups, which are different from the Syrian people, and have signed a contract with Russia while many Syrians have the strength to take his status. I am. That’s one of the reasons why delaying commitment to Moscow makes sense.
Listor explained Al asad’s demand as the largest opening demand, which is a characteristic of early negotiations.
“It’s a mark in terms of building a principle.” We may not be practical today, but we do not forget history, “Lister said. “Russian accomplices in all war crimes in Syria do not forget the Syrian immediately.”
In Syria, Alshala still pursues the debris of the Assad administration’s union that integrates control. Moscow can make the task more difficult.
Syrian base losses may dent Russia’s power in this area, but Moscow may have other options. The support of military leaders in the Kremlin in the Rivia may provide an alternative to the Russian Navy base in the Mediterranean. Already, Russia is using Libya’s aviation base on flights.
The status of Russian base in Syria may not be solved soon.
Anton Maldasov, an expert in Russian military issues focusing on Syria, stated: “In this way, Moscow can save that image, because it has already been as long as possible, cannot leave immediately after the collapse of the Assad administration, and Damascus has been negotiated at this time. Because it can be done.
