New intelligence on Iran’s nuclear plan is faster for the national scientist’s secret team to develop atomic weapons, according to the current and former American officials, if the Tehran leadership decides to compete for bombs. I am convinced that we are exploring the approach to developing atomic weapons faster.
This development will even come to the signal that Iran’s new president is actively seeking negotiations with the Trump administration.
The Intelligence Horse Agency was collected in the last few months of the Biden administration, and was later informed to President Trump’s National Security Team during the transition of power, and the authorities sought anonymous to discuss delicate details. Ta. In intelligence evaluation, Iran’s weapon engineers and scientists are basically looking for shortcuts that can be used to expand nuclear fuel expansion into a weapon that can be executed in more than a few months, not for more than a few months. I warned. Decision to change the current approach.
The officials said in interviews last month that Iran and their highest leaders, Ayatra Ali Hamee, had not decided to develop weapons. However, the new intelligence is that the army seriously explores new options to prevent US or Israeli attacks because the Iran proxy unit has been internalized and the missile failed to make a hole in the defense of the United States and Israel. It suggests that you are doing it.
According to officials, Iran states that it remains a nuclear empty value. Since Trump withdrew from the 2015 nuclear agreement, the country has resumed uranium production and has now sufficient fuel to make more than four bombs. But it’s not enough to actually produce weapons, and new evidence focuses on the last steps needed to change Iran into one.
This evidence is almost certainly part of the discussion between Tuesday Trump on Tuesday and Benjamin Netanyafu, the Prime Minister of Israel. Netanyafu is the first leader in the world who has visited the White House two weeks ago since Trump was inaugurated. For many years, Israeli leaders have walked to the end of ordering Israeli military strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities, but often under pressure from his own military and Intelligence. Masu.
But now the dynamic is different, and the calculation of Netanyahu may be so.
Iran is weaker than today from the perspective of American and Israeli officials. Funds and armed Hamas and Hizbola have lost their leadership and the ability to attack Israel. Syria’s leader Bashar Al Assado fled to Moscow, and his country is no longer a simple route for Iranian weapons.
In October, the Iranian Israelites took away missile defense around Tehran and several nuclear facilities. He also attacked a huge mixture that made new missile fuel, making Iranian production inconvenience.
Mr. Trump indicates that he is not in a hurry to the direct conflict with Iran, and seems to be being negotiated. When asked if he would support Israel’s strike in the facility shortly after the inauguration ceremony, he stated: If it could be solved without taking further steps, that would be really good. Iran said, “I will do a transaction.”
Iran’s President Masud Pezkian repeatedly assumed his predecessor in July after the helicopter CRASH drop, but repeatedly said he wanted to negotiate a new arrangement. However, history suggests that former US officials and Iranian experts may not know what the Islamic Revolutionary Corps is working on when preparing nuclear choices.
“President Penzkian and the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs are likely to have no knowledge of the administration’s internal nuclear deliberation,” said Karim Sajadpool, an Iranian specialist for international peace.
“There were two parallel systems in the Islamic Republic for a long time,” he said. “There is a deep state of the military reported to the Nuclear Plan and the regional power of attorney, and the military reported to Hameei, who has been in charge of repression, taking the hostage, and assassination.”
He said he had a diplomat and a politician. “If you have little knowledge of these activities, you are allowed to talk to Western media and officials, but have been given a problem.
US authorities have long stated that Iran abandoned the weapon program in 2003 after the Iraqi invasion of the United States. The Iranian officials also argue that the government is pursuing private nuclear technology.
Still, there is almost no doubt about Iran’s long -term plans that produce weapons. The document stolen by Israel in a Tehran warehouse in 2018 explained in detail the technical initiatives.
If Tehran changed the policy and decided to pursue nuclear weapons, western officials have long evaluated that Iran has only takes a few days to enrich Uranium to a 90 % level. To make four or five weapons, we have already created enough fuel concentrated in 60 %.
However, concentrating uranium in a bomb grade is not enough for Iran to produce nuclear weapons. For many years, American officials have stated that it takes a year to 18 months to turn the altitude concentrated uranium into a sophisticated warhead that can be mounted on ballistic missiles. Some Israel’s estimated values were even longer, more than two years.
Iranians know that this long development time is a great vulnerability for many years. If an international atomic energy organization that conducts a limited number of nuclear fuel production has announced that Iran has produced 90 % of bomb fuel, Israel and the United States have been forced in the past. He warns that there is a high possibility. Take military action.
Therefore, Iran’s best deterrence is to convert the fuel into a weapon that works. But it doesn’t have much time.
US authorities believe that Iran has know -how to make old -fashioned nuclear weapons. This can be put together much faster than Tehran’s more sophisticated design that takes into account the past. (Probably, it is highly likely that AQ Khan, a nuclear scixture of Pakistan, who sold the country for a nuclear centrifugal separate orbital more than a quarter century, has obtained a blue photo of such weapons.)
Such weapons cannot be miniaturized to fit in ballistic missiles. Also, it will probably be much less reliable than this modern weapon design.
As a result, weapons are unlikely to be an immediate aggressive threat. However, US officials have stated that such a coarse weapon is a device that can test and declare Iran’s quickly built and nuclear power.
It is difficult to use such a weapon for Israel, but it can have a deterrent, and we are considering an attack on Iran twice.
