Image source: Getty
On January 20, 2025, Nigel Farage stood in a cheering crowd as Donald Trump raised his hand to take the second presidential oath. It marked the convergence of two political worlds. It’s Trump’s combat populism and Farage’s relentless ambition to reconstruct British politics. For Farage, this was more than just a sight. It was a declaration that “reformed Britain” is here to overturn the status quo.
Nigel Farage’s presence at Trump’s inauguration was not just a coincidence. Their alliance, fake during the Brexit campaign, reflects a transatlantic partnership rooted in its ability to lead to common daring and public dissatisfaction with the elite. Farage has consistently utilised this relationship to strengthen his political relevance, even providing his services to Keir Starmer’s labour government prime minister. He argued that his “personal friendship” with Trump positions himself in strengthening British (UK) state (US) relations and shaping post-Brexit diplomacy.
Farage’s strategic use of alliance with Trump underscores his knack by entwining his network with a broader political narrative and cementing his position as a transatlantic political operator.
However, Labour firmly rejected the overture of Farage. Cabinet Secretary Pat McFadden emphasized that the government “has a relationship of our own” and did not need Phage’s help in communicating with Trump. This rejection underscored the Labour Party’s commitment to maintaining an independent foreign policy, distanced from the influence of Farage, despite his close ties with the newly re-elected US president. Farage’s strategic use of alliance with Trump underscores his knack by entwining his network with a broader political narrative and solidifying his position as a transatlantic political operator.
But this consistency with Trump presents both opportunities and risks. In Trump’s presidency, Farage sees an opportunity to strengthen UK trade, promote sector agreements and re-align UK’s post-Brexit identity. But Trump’s political baggage, combined with Farage’s own polarized image, makes this a volatile tightrope walk. The public vomit with Elon Musk, who took on an influential role in Trump’s orbit, suggests the vulnerability of Farage’s alliance. Farage called Musk a “hero” for his defense of free speech, but their disagreement made it clear that even populist leaders must navigate the ego of their contemporaries. It reminded me.
Farage’s domestic strategy and fragmentation of the right wing
At home, Nigel Farage has been strategically eliciting dissatisfaction within right-wing politics, positioning reform as a viable alternative to increasing the control of conservatives and workers. Reformed Britain reports that it outperforms conservatives and is tracking only labour, with membership to become Britain’s second largest party. According to the online membership tracker, the party recorded 120,549 members as of December 23, 2024, growing even further in January 2025. The rise has seen membership figures fall to 131,680 amid the decline in the Conservative Party, bringing 180,000 people far below the 180,000 claimed in previous debates. 2019.
Farage’s claims about reform momentum led to a general conflict with conservative leader Kemi Badenoch. In response, Reform UK invited the media to check the number, which was confirmed to be accurate. Farage even called Badenoch’s allegations “disgrace” and could even threaten legal action if an apology wasn’t approaching. The exchange highlighted the growing UK influence in order to leverage its fragmented right-wing voter base.
Farage even called Badenoch’s allegations “disgrace” and could even threaten legal action if an apology wasn’t approaching.
UK upward reforms are not unheard of. Like Trump’s Republican takeover in 2016, Farage’s popularity has given voters’ frustration over the old political elite. He conveys the rage of those left behind with globalization, immigration and the UK’s cultural change that he is still looking for post-Brexit identity. That said, Farage doesn’t just target conservatives. Under Keir Starmer, workers present a much more frightening opponent.
Unlike the chaotic Tories, eugenic labour rebrands itself as a party of competence and pragmatism, appealing to both the centralist and former Conservatives. Focusing on industrial strategy and economic revival, Labour has stepped up its grip on the red wall constituency that abandoned it in 2019. However, these victories were not challenging. Farage cleverly makes use of gaps workers have not yet met. Disillusioned with what they consider to be the leadership of elitist labor in technocratic technocratic labor. Populist messaging on UK immigration, energy independence and small business empowerment resonates in these communities and offers an alternative to both Labour’s refined centrism and Tory dysfunction .
Of course, Farage’s ambitions are bold. Fresh from Trump’s victory, he declared that there is a 25% chance of becoming prime minister during President Trump. Exaggeration? surely. But it reflects the swoosh of a man who repeatedly ignored political odds. His party consistently votes in the range of 10-12%. This is not enough to make a serious invasion in the first pass system, but enough to suck up important votes from labor in affiliated constituencies and destroy the Conservatives.
Farage’s disruption and reforms The long-term impact of the UK
The UK’s strength lies in its ability to disrupt. Farage doesn’t have to win completely to leave a mark on the UK’s political trajectory. By sucking up conservative support and sucking up challenging labor in areas where its grip remains tenuous, he is persuading both parties to readjust their strategies. For labor, the priority is to protect the acquisition of a red wall against Farage’s populist rhetoric. For conservatives, it is a fight for membership and survival while reducing voter asylum.
Trump’s potential return to the White House provides Farage with a validation narrative, framing populism as a lasting force of Western politics rather than as a passing phase.
Farage’s alliance with Trump adds a layer of intriguing to his strategy. Trump’s potential return to the White House provides Farage with a validation narrative, framing populism as a lasting force of Western politics rather than as a passing phase. However, this association reduces both ways. It energises his core base, but it puts the marginalisation of moderates who may view reform as a reliable alternative.
Farage’s challenge is not to defeat political establishments entirely, but to maintain his destructiveness long enough to entrench it in the British political landscape. Reformed Britain thrives with a turbulent background of broken right wing, careful control of workers, and a background of global uncertainty. Farage’s gambling means that voters’ disillusionment can be transformed into permanent political capital. Whether he succeeds depends on the extent to which British voters embrace his brand’s populism in an age of increasing polarization. What cannot be denied, however, is that Nigel Farage has made reforms a force that can no longer be dismissed, and has made its long-term impact on British politics an open and unfolding issue.
Ashraf Nehal is a graduate scholar in South Asian Geopolitics at the Oriental African Studies School (SOAS) at the University of London
The views expressed above belong to the author. ORF research and analysis is now available on Telegram! Click here to access curated content (blogs, longforms, interviews).